Preseason win totals are a great way to assess a team's predicted strength ahead of a college football season.
BetMGM has win totals available for every team in college football, though you need to know how to read the lines. Clemson, for example, has an over/under of 9.5 wins in 2025. The over seems like a no-brainer, right? Well the odds on Clemson winning 10 or more of its 12 regular-season games are -235. You'd win just $4.26 on a $10 bet.
With the season just weeks away, here are 10 of our favorite win total bets ahead of the season.
Arkansas under 5.5 wins (-145)
Sam Pittman is one of the coaches under the most pressure ahead of the 2025 season and the Razorbacks’ schedule isn’t doing him any favors. Arkansas has a tough draw in the SEC and also has Notre Dame at home along with a road trip to Memphis.
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Even if the Razorbacks go 3-1 outside of SEC play, they need to find three wins in conference play. Given the schedule includes four daunting road trips, we’re not sold on Arkansas making a bowl game for the second straight season.
Auburn under 7.5 wins (+140)
Hugh Freeze thinks his team has a shot to be in the playoff conversation at the end of the season. We think they have a shot to be under .500 at the end of September. Auburn has road games at Baylor, Oklahoma and Texas A&M over the first month of the season before hosting Georgia and Missouri in October. There’s a very real possibility that Auburn will be 2-4 before Mizzou visits on Oct. 18 and that would leave little margin for error if Auburn has any hope of hitting the over.
Baylor over 7.5 wins (-105)
We might as well go ahead and officially pick the Bears to win that Week 1 game against Auburn. Baylor has a tough schedule in 2025, with a trip to SMU in Week 2 along with Big 12 games against Arizona State, Kansas State and Utah. But all of those contests are at home. We’re high on Baylor after the team closed the 2024 season with six straight wins. The Bears just missed out on our top 25 and should be a contender for the Big 12 championship game.
Illinois over 7.5 wins (-185)
The juice isn’t in your favor to go with this over, but it’s the right play for a team that could find itself on the periphery of the playoff discussion. Illinois has a ton of players back from a team that went 10-3 in 2024 and a Big Ten schedule that isn’t daunting. An 8-4 season should be the floor for the Illini barring a catastrophe.
Kent State under 1.5 wins (+150)
The good news is that Kent State’s 21-game losing streak shouldn’t extend to 22. The Golden Flashes host FCS school Merrimack in Week 1.
But that could be the team’s only win in 2025. Kent State was outscored by an average of 44-14 in 2024 and will be playing under interim coach Mark Carney after the firing of Kenni Burns this spring. Carney inherited one of the toughest jobs in college football and simply hitting the over may be a cause for celebration. But outside of a home game vs. Mass on Oct. 11, it’s hard to see where Kent State has a shot for a second win.
LSU over 8.5 wins (-150)
This is simply a value play. The Tigers are the No. 9 favorite to win the national title, the No. 4 favorite to win the SEC and +130 to make the College Football Playoff. If LSU is going to make the playoff — a possibility that’s realistic based on the odds — it’s going 9-3 or better. For comparison’s sake, Michigan’s odds to win more than 8.5 games are at -175 and the Wolverines’ playoff odds are at +200.
Yes, the dichotomy in LSU’s odds has to do with the team’s schedule. The Tigers open at Clemson in Week 1 and have games at Ole Miss, Alabama and Oklahoma. But we’re high enough on LSU to back up our preseason ranking with a bet on the over.
Missouri over 7.5 wins (+135)
Missouri has won 23 games over the past two seasons and added a ton of talented transfers to a defense that’s given up fewer than 21 points per game over that stretch. Quarterback is a bit of a question mark as former Penn State backup Beau Pribula is in line to replace Brady Cook and the wide receiver group needs to find players to step up in the absence of Luther Burden III and Theo Wease. But the schedule is manageable, with home games against South Carolina and Texas A&M along with the renewal of rivalry series with Kansas also coming at Faurot Field.
Oklahoma over 7.5 wins (+120)
We have the Sooners at No. 12 in our preseason rankings and think Oklahoma is in line for a massive season. We’ve outlined the reasons why Oklahoma should be good despite a very tough schedule. John Mateer was one of the best QBs in college football in 2024 and the defense should be excellent again. We’ll happily take plus odds for a team we think is among the 15 best in college football.
Stanford under 3.5 wins (-175)
Like Illinois, you’re not going to get much return if this bet hits, but it’s hard to see it not hitting. Stanford has gone 3-9 in each of the past four seasons and is in a transition year with former NFL coach Frank Reich as the team’s interim coach following the firing of Troy Taylor. Reich is going to be one-and-done in Palo Alto and Stanford has a schedule that includes non-conference games against BYU and Notre Dame. The ACC schedule includes games at SMU, Miami and North Carolina as well along with a cross-country trip to Virginia.
Utah over 7.5 wins (-165)
A solid quarterback should go a long way for the Utes. Devon Dampier arrives from New Mexico after throwing for over 2,000 yards and rushing for over 1,000 in 2024. All five starters return on the offensive line to provide him and Washington State transfer RB Wayshawn Parker some serious run lanes. Trips to UCLA and Wyoming over the first three weeks of the season could be sneaky tests, but Utah has 10-win potential this season.
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